@article{35b53dd4f73b48c58d37407a536c44da,
title = "Using cause-effect graphs to elicit expert knowledge for cross-impact balance analysis",
abstract = "Cross-impact balance (CIB) analysis leverages expert knowledge pertaining to the nature and strength of relationships between components of a system to identify the most plausible future {\textquoteleft}scenarios{\textquoteright} of the system. These scenarios, also referred to as {\textquoteleft}storylines{\textquoteright}, provide qualitative insights into how the state of one factor can either promote or restrict the future state of one or multiple other factors in the system. This paper presents a novel, visually oriented questionnaire developed to elicit expert knowledge about the relationships between key factors in a system, for the purpose of CIB analysis. The questionnaire requires experts to make selections from a series of standardized cause-effect graphical profiles that depict a range of linear and non-linear relationships between factor pairs. The questionnaire and the process of translating the graphical selections into data that can be used for CIB analysis is described using an applied example which focuses on urban health in Latin American cities. • A questionnaire featuring a set of standardized cause-effect profiles was developed. • Cause-effect profiles were used to elicit information about the strength of linear and non-linear bivariate relationships. • The questionnaire represents an intuitive visual means for collecting data required for the conduct of CIB analysis.",
keywords = "Chronic disease, Complex Systems, Cross-impact balance (CIB) analysis, Diet, Epidemiology, Food environment, Scenario analysis, Systems thinking, Transportation system, Urban Health",
author = "Ivana Stankov and Useche, {Andres F.} and Meisel, {Jose D.} and Felipe Montes and Morais, {Lidia MO} and Friche, {Amelia AL} and Langellier, {Brent A.} and Peter Hovmand and Sarmiento, {Olga L.} and Hammond, {Ross A.} and {Diez Roux}, {Ana V.}",
note = "Funding Information: The authors thank Prof. Susan Elliot for suggestion we submit a MethodsX article alongside our publication. We are particularly grateful to Assoc. Prof. Jos{\'e} A. Tapia for his help translating key materials into Spanish, and Dr. Peter Lekkas for helpful discussion and feedback, and the researchers who helped pilot test the questionnaire. The authors also acknowledge the contribution of all SALURBAL project team members. For more information on SALURBAL and to see a full list of investigators see https://drexel.edu/lac/salurbal/team/ . The Salud Urbana en Am{\'e}rica Latina (SALURBAL)/ Urban Health in Latin America project is funded by the Wellcome Trust, UK [grant 205177/Z/16/Z]. More information about the project can be found at www.lacurbanhealth.org . AALF is a productivity fellowship recipient from the National Council of Scientific and Technological Development (CNPq). FM and UAF received funding from the FAPA grant of the Universidad de los Andes. JDM was funded by the Universidad de Ibagu{\'e}, Colombia [Project 17-528-INT]. Funding Information: The authors thank Prof. Susan Elliot for suggestion we submit a MethodsX article alongside our publication. We are particularly grateful to Assoc. Prof. Jos? A. Tapia for his help translating key materials into Spanish, and Dr. Peter Lekkas for helpful discussion and feedback, and the researchers who helped pilot test the questionnaire. The authors also acknowledge the contribution of all SALURBAL project team members. For more information on SALURBAL and to see a full list of investigators see https://drexel.edu/lac/salurbal/team/. The Salud Urbana en Am?rica Latina (SALURBAL)/ Urban Health in Latin America project is funded by the Wellcome Trust, UK [grant 205177/Z/16/Z]. More information about the project can be found at www.lacurbanhealth.org. AALF is a productivity fellowship recipient from the National Council of Scientific and Technological Development (CNPq). FM and UAF received funding from the FAPA grant of the Universidad de los Andes. JDM was funded by the Universidad de Ibagu?, Colombia [Project 17-528-INT]. The authors declare that they have no known competing financial interests or personal relationships that could have appeared to influence the work reported in this paper. Publisher Copyright: {\textcopyright} 2021",
year = "2021",
month = jan,
doi = "10.1016/j.mex.2021.101492",
language = "English",
volume = "8",
journal = "MethodsX",
issn = "2215-0161",
publisher = "Elsevier BV",
}